COURSE MATERIAL FOR UB22.0103

Last edit Monday 2012.MAY.07, 4:25 p.m.

The final exam will be 2012.MAY.14, Monday, 2:00 p.m. - 3:50 p.m.

Click here for course syllabus.

Monday Wednesday Thursday

Notes 2012.JAN.23

Get It Right (keep numbers carefully)

Notes 2012.JAN.25

Construction of detailed boxplot

Boxplot pathologies

Notes 2012.JAN.26

Biased sampling

Notes 2012.JAN.30

Two-dice sample space

PowerPoint on Venn diagrams

Notes 2012.FEB.01

Permuations of five symbols

Pascal's triangle

Notes 2012.FEB.02

PowerPoint on medical screening

PowerPoint on "three drawers"

Notes 2012.FEB.06

Term-life premium

Notes 2012.FEB.08

Excel to compute present value

Notes 2012.FEB.09

PowerPoint "Happy Birthday, Mr. Lincoln"

Discrete random variable chart

Terms with discrete random variables

Notes 2012.FEB.13

Sample binomial problems

PowerPoint on Ellsberg's paradox

Notes 2012.FEB.15

Notes 2012.FEB.16

Sample probability problems (to be discuseed 2012.FEB.22)

PowerPoint "Lottery Dream"
No class 2012.FEB.20

Review only (no new topics)

PowerPoint "Lies, Damn Lies, Statistics"

Exam A -- More information below
Notes for 2012.FEB.27

Notes for 2012.FEB.29

PowerPoint "Don't Insure Everything"

Notes for 2012.MAR.01

Sampling and the Central Limit Theorem

Notes for 2012.MAR.05

Covariance and diversification examples

Notes for 2012.MAR.07

Notes for 2012.MAR.08

Interest calculations

Notes for 2012.MAR.19

Log-normal random walk example

Notes for 2012.MAR.21

Regression symbols chart

Notes for 2012.MAR.22

Used cars, Minitab output

PowerPoint linear regression intro

Notes for 2012.MAR.26

Analysis of variance statistics

Analysis of variance schematic

Notes for 2012.MAR.28

Elasticity

Sample problems for exam B (below)

Notes for 2012.MAR.29

Condo (61) data run

Condo (209) with notes

Validity/Significance/Usefullness

Notes for 2012.APR.02

Birth weight regression

Notes for 2012.APR.04

Output for "library" data, showing collinearity

Best Subsets and Stepwise, illustrated on Low Birth Weight data

Notes for 2012.APR.05

Detail on Easton data indicator

2012.APR.09 ... exam review ... no new notes Exam B -- more information below

Notes for 2012.APR.12

Gas price time series

Notes for 2012.APR.16

Notes for 2012.APR.18

Two confidence intervals for same parameter

Notes for 2012.APR.19

Resolution of two confidence interval issue

Notes for 2012.APR.23

Perfect and semi-perfect tests

Notes for 2012.APR.25

Chart for hypothesis test and confidence intervals

Notes for 2012.APR.26

Notes for 2012.APR.30

Multiple testing cartoon (jelly beans)

PowerPoint on MIT, XKCD

Notes for 2012.MAY.02

PowerPoint "Numbers Matter"

Multiple choice/T-F questions on hypothesis testing

Notes for 2012.MAY.03

PowerPoint Statistical Thinking

PowerPoint on "Honest Testing" will not be distributed.

Notes for 2012.MAY.07

Multiple choice/T-F question on hypothesis testing (with solutions)

Inference issues in regression

PowerPoint on statistical truth

   

EXAM INFORMATION

Sample problems for Exam A for 2012.FEB.23

Exam A, version RED, with solutions

Exam A, version BLUE, with solutions

Exam A, version GREEN, with solutions

Report on Exam A, including errata

Sample problems for Exam B for 2012.APR.11

Extra sample problems (with more multiple regression) for Exam B for 2012.APR.11

Exam B, version OVAL, with solutions

Exam B, version TRIANGLE, with solutions

Exam B, version SQUARE, with solutions

Report on Exam B, with errata

Sample final exam problems

HOMEWORK

Set number PDF form DOCX form Due date Solution
1

Homework 1

Homework 1 2012.FEB.01 Solution 1
2 Homework 2 Homework 2 2012.FEB.09 Solution 2
3 Homework 3 Homework 3 2012.FEB.22 Solution 3
4 Homework 4 Homework 4 2012.MAR.21 Solution 4
5
Homework 5
Homework 5
2012.MAR.29 Solution 5
6 Homework 6 Homework 6 2012.APR.18 Solution 6
7 Homework 7 Homework 7 2012.APR.25 Solution 7
8 Homework 8 Homework 8 2012.MAY.03

Solution 8

Error in problem 9, part 5, repaired , 2012.MAY.07